The Russian Federation’s (RF) ‘evacuation’ of the regions, towns and villages surrounding the southern city of Kherson continues on 24 October. Independent observers predict the Kremlin plans to take advantage of the fighting inside the city. Armed and motivated Ukrainian military units into bloody city battles.
Steady movement of civilians by ferry and pontoon bridges from the right bank of the Dnipro to the left was widely reported over the weekend, and the only crossing point of the Dnipro, the Ukrainian Armed Forces (AFU) long-range rockets, is still operational. It is said that by car. It is located near a hydroelectric dam near the city of Nova Kakhovka.
In an October 24 interview with Channel 5 television, Vladislav Seleznov, spokesman for the Chief of the General Staff of the Ukrainian Army (AGS), said that the Kremlin had sent civilian officials and some military equipment to the left bank/south bank of Ukraine in comparison. He was moved to a safer place, but said: River, the Russian army is not going to leave the right/north bank without a fight. As such, he warned that they were concentrating many of their best forces for a last-minute battle in the city of Kherson.
“Russians are really moving [some] Troops and Equipment on the Right Bank [into Kherson city]… there will be a battle. ”
recent ground motion
Over the weekend, both Ukraine and the RF-controlled media reported renewed AFU progress, measuring the “evacuation” of RF forces in villages along lines of communication.
The Washington-based Institute for War Studies (ISW) confirmed in its October 23 situation estimate that RF forces had abandoned the villages of Charivne and Chkalove, and that RF soldiers in the rear area, including officers and medics, have been “evacuated” from the town. of Berislav. Ukrainian news media reports generally confirm his ISW assessment.
Artillery engagements were reported across the Southern Front on 23 October, with RF artillery fire hitting more than 20 AFUs, including Bezimenne, Birohirka, Davydif Brid, Novohliholivka, Novokrayinka, Partizanske, Pravdain, and Chervona Dolina. attacked cities, towns and villages held by
Ukrainian forces captured the village of Mylove on 23 October, according to statements and images released by the Georgian Corps (AFU units manned mostly by Georgian volunteers).
Some Russian military social media appear to have confirmed Ukrainian predictions that the Kremlin wants to draw troops from field positions across the Kherson sector to prepare for fighting in the city.
In a telegram channel used by members of the 205th Mechanized Infantry Brigade, an RF unit operating in the Kherson area, a poster warned fellow servicemen: [AFU] No coordinated ground or long-range attacks by air or HIMARS artillery. The better you plan and organize, [RF] there is a loss.So far I’m not happy with our route [of withdrawal]The terrain is open. ”
Kyrylo Budanov, a spokesman for the Ukrainian Armed Forces Main Intelligence Directorate (MDI), said the Russian military leadership hopes to bring the AFU into close combat inside Kherson. Its purpose is to reduce the impact of the AFU’s decisive advantage in long-range precision-guided munitions and inflict heavy casualties on Ukrainian units in close-in infantry combat.
“they [RF forces] It creates the illusion that everything is lost. At the same time, they are introducing new military units and preparing the streets of the city for defense, ”Budanov said in his MDI-published comments.
“It is perfectly clear what the Ukrainian army needs to do. The more you fight, the less likely you are to counterattack later.
RF power state
Selesnov and most military analysts estimate that the RF Army still has about 30,000 trained troops stationed in and around Kherson. Many belong to elite combat units like marines and paratroopers, and can defend cities fiercely.
In recent months, RF forces have performed relatively poorly against AFU forces, which are better armed, trained, combat-experienced, and more motivated than their Russian counterparts in open-step combat.
Kherson’s RF regular army units are supplemented by soldiers recently mobilized and sent to the front after Russian President Vladimir Putin called up 300,000 reserves in late September, observers said. Placing poorly trained ex-civilians (broadly referred to as “Moviks”) at their expense is a widely reported tactic of the RF Forces.
In a perhaps related development, the Kremlin-funded RIA Novosti television channel told viewers on October 24 that local authorities had formed a territorial defense force made up of civilian volunteers to help Russian forces defend the city. He said he was forming a battalion.
loss of service
Meanwhile, in the city of Kherson, Internet users reported an almost complete failure of cable and high-capacity data services on October 23rd. One of the city’s largest providers, he said in a Skynet Kherson statement, RF Occupation authorities were “moving communications equipment,” resulting in the indefinite turn-off of high-connection services across the region. became. Some users reported that in dispersed locations, limited bandwidth services were still operating over their mobile phones.
Ukrainian blogger Konstantyn Ryzhenko published an image on October 24th showing a completely severed Kherson fiber optic trunk cable at an underground access node. Widely forwarded images from Kherson’s grocery store show shelves cleanly cleared of food and supplies.
Some petrol stations in the occupied Kherson ceased operations entirely, while others sold petrol and diesel only to motorists willing to pay in Ukrainian hryvnia.Russian occupation authorities said in April that declared the Russian ruble as the region’s “main” currency.
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